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LLM Rerankers Can Self-Assess Ranking Quality Through Self-Consistency and Supervised Calibration Methods

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[Submitted on 2 Jun 2026]

23d ago· 2 min readenInsight

Summary

This paper investigates whether LLM rerankers can predict their own ranking quality (reranker-internal Query Performance Prediction). The authors explore training-free methods (self-consistency across sampled rankings and verbalized confidence) and training-based approaches (Verb-Num and Verb-List). Experiments on TREC Deep Learning 2019-2022 with four LLMs show that self-consistency is competitive with state-of-the-art QPP methods and better calibrated, while direct verbalized confidence is severely overconfident. The proposed supervised methods (Verb-Num and Verb-List) enable LLM rerankers to produce calibrated ranking-quality estimates with minimal additional output tokens.

Source

bskyLLM Rerankers Can Self-Assess Ranking Quality Through Self-Consistency and Supervised Calibration Methodsarxiv.org

Key quotes

· 3 pulled
Retrieval effectiveness varies substantially across queries, making it important to estimate ranking quality before relevance judgments are available.
Self-consistency is competitive with the state-of-the-art (SOTA) approach and better calibrated in almost all settings, while direct verbalized confidence is severely overconfident.
We propose two supervised methods, Verb-Num and Verb-List, which enable LLM rerankers to produce calibrated ranking-quality estimates with only a few additional output tokens.
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Retrieval effectiveness varies substantially across queries, making it important to estimate ranking quality before relevance judgments are available. Query performance prediction (QPP) addresses this need, but most existing methods rely on external predi

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