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Study finds physics-based weather models outperform AI for predicting extreme weather events

By

Isabelle Dumé

28d ago· 6 min readenNews

Summary

Researchers from the University of Geneva and Karlsruhe Institute of Technology found that physics-based weather models outperform AI-based models at predicting extreme weather events, particularly those with no precedent in training data. The study compared outputs from different forecasting systems and concluded that while AI models are fast and efficient for routine weather prediction, they struggle with record-breaking extremes like the 2020 Siberian heatwave, where physics-based models proved more reliable.

Source

bskyStudy finds physics-based weather models outperform AI for predicting extreme weather eventsphysicsworld.com

Key quotes

· 3 pulled
Artificial intelligence (AI)-based weather models are not as good as physics-based forecasting systems at predicating extreme weather events
After comparing the outputs of different models...
Extreme heat: Temperature anomalies during the 2020 Siberian heatwave, an event that shattered historical records and triggered severe wildfires
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Artificial intelligence struggles to forecast events with no precedent in training data

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