The Economist tests its own forecasting accuracy using artificial intelligence
By
The Economist
Summary
The Economist uses AI to test the accuracy of its own forecasts, particularly those made in its leader pages. The article examines the track record of predictions, acknowledging that while fact-checking prevents errors about the present, the future is more difficult. It references a specific 1999 prediction that oil could fall, and uses AI analysis to evaluate the publication's forecasting accuracy over time.
Source
bskyThe Economist tests its own forecasting accuracy using artificial intelligenceecon.stKey quotes
· 3 pulledThe tone of pronouncements made in the leader pages of The Economist has been likened to the 'voice of God'.
Rigorous fact-checking usually saves us from embarrassing errors about the present. The future is trickier.
In 1999 we said oil could fall to
You might also wanna read
Analysis: Historical Context Shows AI Energy Consumption Predictions May Be Overstated
This article challenges alarmist predictions about AI's energy consumption, arguing that similar dire forecasts were made about internet and
johnquigginblog.substack.com·9mo agoHere's an AI Bullshit Detector: I use it daily and it catches things you won't see on your own
Business Insider Reportedly Allows Journalists to Use AI for Story Drafting
Business Insider has reportedly implemented a policy allowing journalists to use AI tools for drafting stories, research, and image editing.
The Verge·9mo ago
Expert forecasts on when AI will automate all cognitive labor: A timeline analysis
This article analyzes and visualizes predictions from top AI researchers and forecasting organizations about when artificial general intelli
futuresearch.ai·1mo ago
Review: Refine AI Tool for Academic Article Refinement Shows Impressive Results
The author shares a highly positive review of Refine, an AI tool for refining academic articles developed by Yann Calvó López and Ben Golub.
grumpy-economist.com·4mo ago
Using LLMs to Retrospectively Analyze and Grade Decade-Old Hacker News Predictions
The article explores a thought experiment about using LLMs to retrospectively analyze and 'auto-grade' decade-old Hacker News discussions fo
karpathy.bearblog.dev·6mo ago
Comments
Sign in to join the conversation.
No comments yet. Be the first.