NOAA declares El Niño for 2026 as Pacific Ocean warms
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Author: Met Office
Summary
NOAA has officially declared El Niño conditions for 2026, confirming the development of a new phase of the ENSO cycle in the tropical Pacific. The declaration comes after months of forecasts indicating an increased likelihood of El Niño forming early in the summer of 2026.
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Key quotes
· 3 pulledEl Niño conditions have now developed in the tropical Pacific, marking the start of a new phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle for 2026.
This transition has now been formally declared by the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), which today confirmed that El Niño has developed and issued an El Niño Advisory.
This transition has been anticipated for some time, with forecasts over recent months consistently indicating an increased likelihood that El Niño would form early this summer.
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