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EMARKETER forecast reveals ChatGPT's AI ad revenue ceiling at $5B by 2030, far below OpenAI projections

By

Luis Rijo

13d ago· 23 min readenInsight

Summary

The article analyzes the disconnect between AI advertising hype and reality, focusing on EMARKETER's $68 billion AI ad market forecast and the revelation that ChatGPT's US chatbot ad revenue will only reach $5 billion by 2030 — roughly a tenth of what its parent company OpenAI has projected to investors. It forces a reckoning with what "AI advertising" actually means and where money flows in a speculative market where industry players are being asked to bet before concrete numbers exist.

Source

bskyEMARKETER forecast reveals ChatGPT's AI ad revenue ceiling at $5B by 2030, far below OpenAI projectionsppc.land

Key quotes

· 3 pulled
One projected a $68 billion market. The other said that the most-discussed platform in that market would capture roughly a tenth of what its own company has told investors to expect.
Together, they forced a reckoning with what 'AI advertising' actually means, and where the money flows in a period when everyone in the industry is being asked to bet before the numbers are in.
The dominant story of the day came from EMARKETER.
Snippet from the RSS feed
EMARKETER puts ChatGPT's US chatbot ad ceiling at $5bn by 2030. Elkjop's NOK 20m GDPR fine, TikTok Shop RFP budgets, and lingering Google ranking volatility.

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