WC26 Quarterfinals: Every Team's Odds To Win World Cup

France enters the World Cup quarterfinals as the tournament favorite with 33 percent odds to win the title, according to the latest Polymarket odds. Argentina ranks second at 21 percent. France and Argentina, who met in the 2022 World Cup final, are on opposite sides of the bracket and would meet in the final again if they each win their next two matches. France holds a 54 percent chance of winning its next two matches to reach the final. France will first face Morocco in the quarterfinals, with a potential semifinal matchup against the winner of Spain and Belgium. Argentina will take on Switzerland before a possible semifinal against the winner between England and Norway. Spain entered the tournament as a slight World Cup favorite ahead of France before slipping following a scoreless draw with Cape Verde. Cape Verde nearly upset Argentina in the subsequent round of 32. Spain holds the best xG expected goals mark among remaining teams at +1.70, having yet to concede a goal this tournament. Argentina and France rank second and third in that category, with England, Morocco, Belgium and Norway trailing behind. 2026 World Cup Title Odds: 1. France: 33% 2. Argentina: 21% 3. Spain: 19% 4. England: 16% 5. Norway: 6% 6. Morocco: 3% 7. Belgium: 2% 8. Switzerland: 2% Want to trade on the World Cup? New Polymarket users can claim a $50 welcome bonus with a $20 deposit. Use promo code ACQUIRE04 at sign-up or claim the Polymarket welcome offer through RealGM . Must be 18 years or older. Terms and conditions apply.