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Study finds World Cup losses can cause 0.5% stock market decline in losing countries

By

Tim Shufelt

4d ago· 4 min readenInsight

Summary

This article explores the "World Cup effect" on stock markets, examining research that shows soccer match outcomes can influence investor mood and risk appetite. Statistical evidence suggests that a loss in the elimination stage of the World Cup leads to an abnormal decline of about 0.5% in the losing country's stock market, demonstrating how emotional factors can impact what is traditionally viewed as rational financial decision-making.

Source

bskyStudy finds World Cup losses can cause 0.5% stock market decline in losing countriestheglobeandmail.com

Key quotes

· 5 pulled
If you believe the stock market is a rational place, consider the World Cup effect.
Over the years, a handful of researchers have explored whether the emotional highs and lows of the tournament show up in stock prices.
Sure enough, there seems to be statistical evidence that soccer outcomes can influence risk appetite.
It comes down to investor mood. And nothing spoils the national mood quicker than getting keenly routed on the pitch.
A loss in the elimination stage of the World Cup translates into an 'abnormal' decline of about 0.5 per cent in the losing country's stock
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Nothing spoils the national mood quicker than getting routed on the pitch

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