UK midterm transitions: History shows no predetermined outcome for Starmer to Burnham changeover
By
Andrew Adonis
Summary
The article examines the history of midterm transitions of UK prime ministers since WWII, noting that outcomes are not predetermined — five went on to win general elections, four lost, and one (Liz Truss) lasted only 49 days. It argues that the unpopularity of the outgoing prime minister is not a reliable predictor of success for the successor, using historical examples like Eden to Macmillan. The piece focuses on the transition from Keir Starmer to Andy Burnham, suggesting the political landscape remains open and uncertain.
Source
bskyUK midterm transitions: History shows no predetermined outcome for Starmer to Burnham changeoverprospectmagazine.co.ukKey quotes
· 5 pulledThere have been 10 previous midterm transitions of prime minister in the UK since the Second World War.
Five went on to win the following general election; four went on to lose, while one, Liz Truss, only survived for 49 days.
So don't believe anyone claiming that there is a preordained outcome to this transition from Keir Starmer to Andy Burnham.
Everything is still to play for.
One definite non-factor is the degree of failure or unpopularity of the exiting prime minister.
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