US-China Tech Competition: A Strategic Playbook for Long-Term Leadership
Summary
The article presents a nuanced analysis of the US-China technology competition, arguing that neither nation is as dominant or as weak as commonly portrayed. It emphasizes that winning the tech race requires competing across the full spectrum of technologies, building at speed and scale, and defending domestic markets from nonmarket competition. The piece highlights China's AI progress despite chip constraints, breakthroughs in robotics and quantum computing, and weaponization of rare earth processing, while noting its continued inability to produce certifiable leading-edge chips.
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Key quotes
· 3 pulledChina is often portrayed as either unstoppable—dominating electric vehicles (EVs), batteries, and solar panels—or lacking the creativity to push the technological frontier.
The United States is either celebrated as the unquestioned AI leader or criticized for losing its manufacturing base and becoming dangerously dependent on rivals.
Winning the tech race is not about any single breakthrough. Leadership requires competing across the full menu of technologies, developing the dexterity to build at speed and scale, and defending our domestic markets from nonmarket competition.
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