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Someone Just Bet $400,000 That Putin Will Be Out of Power by the End of the Year — Here’s What the Money Is Seeing

By

Isaac Seitz

5d agoen

Source

National Security JournalSomeone Just Bet $400,000 That Putin Will Be Out of Power by the End of the Year — Here’s What the Money Is Seeingnationalsecurityjournal.org
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Someone anonymously bet $400,000 on Polymarket that Putin will resign or be ousted by the end of 2026 — a wager placed as Ukrainian drones burn Russia's refineries, fuel lines stretch across the country, and frustrated Russians vent openly online. The market puts the odds at just 11%. And the sobering analysis here explains why: Putin is guarded by 300,000 loyal troops, coup predictions have failed for four years running — and whoever replaced him would likely be worse.

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