Oracle's Path to $800 Per Share by 2030: Cloud Growth vs. Heavy Capex
Summary
Oracle's Q4 FY2026 revenue hit $19.18B with cloud infrastructure surging 93% YoY and remaining performance obligations reaching $638B. Despite strong cloud growth, shares trade at $184.29 — down ~5% YTD and 46% below the 52-week high — with negative free cash flow of -$23.69B due to $55.66B in capex. The article analyzes whether Oracle can reach $800 per share by 2030, presenting a base case of $422.75 and a bull case of $794.07, requiring significant EPS compounding and multiple expansion.
Source
Key quotes
· 3 pulledQ4 FY2026 revenue reached $19.18B, with cloud infrastructure up 93% year over year and remaining performance obligations rising to $638B.
Shares trade at $184.29, down 4.87% year to date and 11.73% over one year, and are 46.3% below the $343.01 52-week high.
Consensus targets imply about 37% upside to $252.64, while a 2030 base case projects $422.75 and a bull case $794.07, requiring major EPS compounding and multiple expansion to reach $800.
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