Putin's Faltering War in Ukraine Raises Risks of Desperate Escalation
By
Peter Frankopan
Summary
This article analyzes the precarious position of Vladimir Putin as Russia's war in Ukraine drags on far longer than anticipated, now exceeding the duration of both the Soviet fight against Nazi Germany and World War I. It examines how Russian forces have ceased making significant battlefield gains, with some data even showing territorial losses in April and May, and that any gains have come at enormous human and material cost. The piece warns that like a drowning man, Putin may resort to increasingly desperate measures to maintain power and control, exploring the strategic, political, and psychological dimensions of a cornered authoritarian leader facing mounting pressure from both the battlefield and domestic discontent.
Source

Key quotes
· 3 pulledThe 'special military operation' he launched against Ukraine in 2022, intended to last a few days until a puppet regime in Kyiv could be installed, has now gone on longer than both the Soviet fight against Nazi Germany and all of World War I.
What gains the Russians have made have come at enormous cost.
Like a struggling swimmer, he may take desperate measures to stay afloat.
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