Reflection on Failed Economic Crash Prediction and Analysis of Economic Indicators
Last year I predicted there would be a significant (2008+) economic crash that year. The year is now 2026 and I was wrong. At the time my main argument was essentially this
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Inflation vs Job Growth, AI vs White-Collar Work, and Trillionaire vs Democracy
Economy Gets a 'B Minus': Strong Jobs but Stubborn Inflation and Stagnant Wages
Inflation vs Job Growth, AI vs White-Collar Work, and Trillionaire vs Democracy
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Predicting the Unemployment Rate in a Time of Coronavirus
Summary Economists forecast the unemployment rate all the time. Usually, though, they use data over the previous months and quarters to fore

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