Polymarket odds sink to 4.5% on Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31
After a June 17 US-Iran shipping MoU, attacks near the Strait of Hormuz and escalatory strikes revived closure threats, while transits stayed about 28 a day versus 100 pre-war. (Read More)
Read the full articleYou might also wanna read

Traders Just Slashed the Odds That the Strait of Hormuz Returns to Normal — From 88 Percent to Barely a Coin Flip
Prediction markets have gutted the odds that Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to pre-war levels — from a June peak near 88 percent down to a
Traffic through Hormuz falls amid renewed US-Iran tensions
Ship transits through the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday were at a two-week low, according to S&P Global. The post Traffic through Hormuz fall
Strait of Hormuz: What has happened since the US-Iran MoU on June 17?
More than 500 ships have passed through the strait since June 17, but many remain stuck.
Report: Traffic in Hormuz falls sharply, only six vessels passed on 9-10 July night
Report: Traffic in Hormuz falls sharply, only six vessels passed on 9-10 July night Ship-tracking firm Windward said just six vessels crosse
Oil tanker traffic through Strait of Hormuz drops sharply after Iranian attacks on commercial ships
Oil has rallied more than 7% this week as investors worry that exports through Hormuz could plunge as the U.S. and Iran fight for control of

Traders push Strait of Hormuz reopening expectations to late 2025 or beyond after Iran-Israel strikes
Two weeks ago traders saw a 60% chance that the Strait of Hormuz would open before August. Now traders see a higher chance that it will open

Comments
Sign in to join the conversation.
No comments yet. Be the first.