Sal Rahman explains Taleb's barbell strategy: deep out-of-the-money puts yielding 3x returns
Good intentions, undercooked execution. The bake is missing.
Summary
Sal Rahman discusses Nassim Nicholas Taleb's barbell investment strategy, as implemented by Universa Investments. The strategy involves keeping 85-90% of capital in cash and short-term bonds, while allocating 10-15% to deep out-of-the-money put options (30% below strike price) on broad markets. Rahman notes that even modest market drawdowns cause these options to explode in value, and shares that his own out-of-the-money options are yielding 3x returns despite still being out-of-the-money.
Key quotes
· 3 pulledMy options are still out-the-money, yet, they're still yielding 3x return.
Now I see what Taleb was going on about with his barbell method.
Drawdowns at those levels are vanishingly rare, but it doesn't matter; any drawdown (even 10%) will cause the value of these options to explode.
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