IFI projections show rising public debt will challenge Brazil's next government
By
28.jun.2026 às 18h02
Summary
The article reports on new projections from Brazil's Independent Fiscal Institution (IFI) indicating that public debt will continue to rise regardless of the scenario, even under optimistic assumptions for GDP and interest rates. The most likely scenario shows federal revenues declining from 18.9% of GDP in 2026 to 18.3% in the medium term, while non-financial expenditures rise from 19.2% of GDP this year to 19.9% by 2032. The piece warns that the next government, to be elected in October, will face difficult fiscal decisions with no reversal of the debt trajectory in sight.
Source
bskyIFI projections show rising public debt will challenge Brazil's next governmentwww1.folha.uol.com.brKey quotes
· 4 pulledAs novas projeções da Instituição Fiscal Independente (IFI), vinculada ao Senado, prenunciam anos difíceis para o governo a ser eleito em outubro.
Longe de qualquer sinal de reversão, a escalada da dívida pública permanece em todos os cenários considerados.
No tido como mais provável, um pouco menos ruim que o apresentado no semestre anterior, as receitas federais atingem 18,9% do PIB em 2026 e recuam gradualmente para 18,3% no médio prazo.
Já as despesas não financeiras sobem de 19,2% do PIB neste ano para 19,9% em 2032, antes de uma estabilização parcial em torno de 19,
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