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Tariff Pass-Through to Consumer Prices Is Far From Complete, Research Shows

This article analyzes how U.S. businesses have responded to recent tariff changes, including new tariffs and a Supreme Court decision reshaping trade policy. The authors examine whether businesses have finished adjusting their prices or if further tariff-induced price increases are still to come. Based on their research, they find that while many businesses have already passed some costs to consumers through higher prices, a significant amount of tariff pass-through remains in the pipeline, meaning consumers can expect additional price increases ahead as businesses continue to adjust to the higher costs imposed by trade policy changes.

maureenegan9h ago7 min readenInsight
Read on newyorkfed.org

Key quotes

Last year, we found that most businesses had passed on at least some of these higher costs to their customers.
Many businesses saw their costs increase significantly and faced complex decisions about whether to absorb the tariffs through lower profit margins, raise their prices to recover the higher costs, or some combination of the two.
The past year brought dramatic changes to U.S. trade policy, including sweeping new tariffs, as well as a Supreme Court decision that further reshaped the tariff landscape.

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