CDC Model Projects Bundibugyo Virus Outbreak Growth in DRC Over Three Months
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Summary
This report from the CDC describes using a transmission model to project the growth of the Bundibugyo virus disease (BVD) outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo over a three-month period. The model uses different assumptions about the number of deaths as of May 24, 2026, and varies key parameters to forecast outbreak trajectories. The article provides modeled scenario projections to help inform public health response efforts for this Ebola disease outbreak centered in the Ituri province of the DRC.
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Key quotes
· 2 pulledAn outbreak of Bundibugyo virus disease (BVD), a type of Ebola disease, is currently ongoing, centered in the Ituri province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC).
CDC used a transmission model to project outbreak growth over 3 months, by using different assumptions about the number of deaths as of May 24, 2026, and by varying the per
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