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Ildemaro Vargas: Fantasy Baseball's Unsustainable Surprise

By

David Roth

28d ago· 6 min readenInsight

Summary

An article about Ildemaro Vargas, a 34-year-old MLB player who has been performing unexpectedly well, catching the attention of fantasy baseball analysts despite a career sample size suggesting his hot streak is unsustainable. The piece explores the tension between small-sample success and long-term data, and the dilemma fantasy writers face in covering such players.

Key quotes

· 3 pulled
He's 34 years old, and the vast majority of fantasy players have never heard of him before the last two weeks.
We have a nearly 1,400 plate appearance sample over his career to scream that what he is doing is not sustainable, nor who he truly is, and I fully believe that.
The next paragraph started with the word 'But.'
Snippet from the RSS feed
“I’ve been trying to avoid writing about Vargas in this space,” Baseball Prospectus fantasy baseball writer Michael Waterloo wrote last week. “He’s 34 years old, and the vast majority of fantasy players have never heard of him before the last two weeks. W

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