'Super' El Niño with 2°C warming now highly probable, expected to last into 2027 and worsen global inequality
By
Guardian staff reporter
Baker's choice. Dense with flavour, light on filler.
Summary
A "super" El Niño event, marked by sea surface temperature increases of 2°C or more, is now highly probable for this year and could last into 2027. Weakened trade winds allow warm surface waters to spread across the central and eastern Pacific, disrupting ocean circulation and altering global weather patterns. The phenomenon is intensifying economic inequality worldwide, as food insecurity linked to climate shocks exposes how global supply chains disproportionately push risk onto the world's poorest populations.
Key quotes
· 5 pulledA powerful, or 'super' El Niño – marked by 2C (3.6F) or greater increase in sea surface temperatures – is now highly probable for this year, lasting into 2027.
Weakened trade winds allow warm surface waters to spread across the central and eastern Pacific.
This disrupts ocean circulation and alters weather patterns worldwide.
El Niño is intensifying an already unequal global economy.
Food insecurity is not simply a climatic problem, but rooted in dependency and global market integration, while climate shocks expose how supply chains push risk on to the world's poorest populations.
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