Analysis of Heavy Precipitation Trends in a Warming Climate
Summary
This article examines the relationship between global warming and heavy precipitation trends. It discusses the theoretical framework suggesting a warmer world will experience more frequent and intense heavy precipitation events, and tests this hypothesis using data from the 4th National Climate Assessment (NCA4), which analyzed changes in 99th percentile precipitation events. The article presents evidence that heavy precipitation is indeed increasing in a warming climate.
Source
bskyAnalysis of Heavy Precipitation Trends in a Warming Climateus-climate.blogspot.comKey quotes
· 4 pulledBy it's very definition, a warming world will be, well warmer. Surprise!
There is a strong theoretical framework to suggest that a warmer world will be wetter overall and that more frequent heavy precipitation events will occur.
We do not need to speculate about the wetter world hypothesis, we can test it.
The 4th National Climate Assessment (NCA4) looked at past and future trends in heavy precipitation by looking at the change in 99th percentile events.
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