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Germany's economic growth set to accelerate in 2026-2027 despite global shocks

Germany is projected to experience a sharp acceleration in economic growth in 2026 and 2027, despite facing multiple shocks including US tariffs, the Middle East conflict, and intensifying competition from China. After emerging from recession in 2025 with modest growth, the economy is expected to more than double its growth rate in 2026, supported by large-scale investment plans launched the previous year. Early 2026 figures are already showing encouraging signs. However, structural challenges remain, including reliance on traditional industries and high exposure to the Chinese market.

Read on economic-research.bnpparibas.com

Key quotes

According to our current forecasts, growth is set to more than double in 2026 and strengthen further in 2027, despite the impact of the conflict in the Middle East.
It would be supported by the ramp-up of the large-scale investment plans launched last year.
The first figures of the year are already encouraging.

From the article

Despite the energy shock caused by the conflict in the Middle East and intensifying competition from China, Germany is set to accelerate its growth in 2026 and 2027, driven by massive investment efforts. Yet its reliance on traditional industries and high
Continue reading on economic-research.bnpparibas.com

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