Study Finds Mixed Results for Civilian State-Building Intervention in Medellín Neighborhoods
By
CHRISTOPHER BLATTMAN* Affiliation: University of Chicago , United States
Summary
This article presents a study on a state-building intervention in Medellín, Colombia, where the municipal government increased non-police state presence in 40 neighborhoods over 20 months. The experiment found that overall perceptions of security and legitimacy changed negligibly, suggesting low returns on statebuilding investments within electoral cycles. However, heterogeneity analysis revealed significant improvements in areas where state governance was already relatively higher, while impacts were null or possibly negative in areas with lower baseline governance.
Source
Key quotes
· 3 pulledOn average, perceptions of security and legitimacy changed negligibly, suggesting that returns to statebuilding investments are generally low, at least within electoral cycles.
Prespecified heterogeneity analysis, however, reveals significant increases in security and legitimacy where state governance began relatively higher, while impacts were null or possibly negative where it began lower.
We helped design and evaluate a statebuilding intervention in Medellín, Colombia.
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