From AGI to ASI: Pathways and Challenges to Artificial General Superintelligence

Over the last decade, building human-level artificial general intelligence has moved from far-fetched speculation to being a concrete next-decade target for many of the largest AI organisations.

More apt might be the prospect of a series of transformative societal changes caused by AI-enabled progress and breakthroughs across many areas of science and technology.

Preparing for this prospect requires a massively interdisciplinary endeavour of global scope and interest.

Determining whether the impact of these frictions will be negligible or substantial raises a number of concrete open research questions.

Due to large uncertainties for predicting ASI progress, it cannot be ruled out that AI progress might continue to accelerate over the next years.