US Nursing Home Closure Trends and Access to Long-Term Care (2016-2025)
By
Andrew R. Olenski, PhD1,2; Rachel M. Werner, MD, PhD2,3,4
Summary
This study analyzes trends in US nursing home closures from 2016 to 2025, examining closure rates before, during, and after the COVID-19 pandemic. The research characterizes facilities that closed during this period and assesses the implications for access to long-term care. The data shows annualized closure rates by quarter, with the pandemic period having a notable impact on closure patterns.
Source

Key quotes
· 3 pulledThe graph shows annualized closure rates by quarter from 2016 quarter 1 to 2025 quarter 1.
Quarterly closure rates are annualized as (1 − [1 − exits/active]4) × 100, where exits are true closures identified via Provider of Services termination dates.
This study examines trends in US nursing home closures, characterizing facilities that closed during 2016-2025, and assessing implications for access to care.
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