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Europe's rearmament dilemma: deterrence by 2028 vs. long-term strategic autonomy

By

Euractiv

2h ago· 5 min readenInsight
politicsbusinesseuropean affairsdefence

Summary

Europe's rearmament debate is caught between two competing priorities: military leaders who want to acquire the best weapons as quickly as possible to deter a potential Russian attack by 2028, and politicians who want defence spending to strengthen Europe's industrial base, reduce US dependence, and achieve strategic autonomy. The article argues that both sides are right, creating a dilemma where homegrown capabilities that arrive after the danger has passed are useless for deterrence.

Source

bskyEurope's rearmament dilemma: deterrence by 2028 vs. long-term strategic autonomyeuractiv.com

Key quotes

· 3 pulled
The military argument is that deterrence has a deadline based on numerous estimates of Moscow being ready to attack by 2028.
You cannot deter Russia in 2028 with a weapon system that is not available until 2035.
Both sides are right; that is the dilemma.
Snippet from the RSS feed
Europe cannot deter Russia in 2028 with weapons that arrive in 2035, but the defence spending debate is being argued as if we have all the time in the world

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