Convexly: A Decision Analytics Platform for Tracking Predictions and Improving Judgment

Summary

Convexly is a decision analytics platform designed to help users improve their decision-making skills by tracking predictions, measuring calibration, and providing feedback on judgment quality. It functions like a fitness tracker for decision-making, automatically calculating metrics like Brier Scores, calibration curves, upside ratios, and Kelly Criterion. The platform offers AI-assisted decision structuring, pre-mortem analysis, and coaching nudges, distinguishing itself from traditional spreadsheets. It's particularly useful for tracking hiring, product, and investment decisions to align confidence with reality.