Ukraine's Experience Shows Why Cyber Deterrence Fails Against Russia's Persistent Campaigning
By
@armycyberinst
Summary
This article argues that Western approaches to cyber deterrence are fundamentally flawed when applied to Russian cyber operations. Drawing on Ukraine's experience with sustained hybrid aggression, it contends that Russia's cyber activities are not discrete attacks that can be deterred through threatened retaliation, but rather a permanent instrument of statecraft that operates continuously below the threshold of armed conflict. The author suggests that instead of trying to deter Russian cyber operations, allied strategy should focus on exhausting Russia's capabilities through sustained campaigning in cyberspace.
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Key quotes
· 3 pulledRussian cyber operations have persisted for more than a decade not because they are decisive, but because cyberspace rewards continuous campaigning below the threshold of armed conflict.
the prevailing Western emphasis on cyber deterrence fundamentally misreads the nature of the domain
Russia's cyber activity is not a discrete series of attacks that can be prevented through threatened retaliation; it is a permanent instrument of statecraft
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