Bitcoin's diminishing returns: Each bull run requires exponentially more capital for smaller gains
By
Shaurya Malwa
Summary
Bitcoin's market cycles show diminishing returns on capital — each parabolic run requires exponentially more new money to achieve smaller percentage gains. In 2011, $5 million doubled Bitcoin's price; this cycle, ~$101 billion was needed for the same effect. With a market cap near $1.2 trillion, Bitcoin now demands massive capital inflows for relatively smaller moves. CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju argues this signals Bitcoin's maturation into a core macro asset rather than a top, noting that ~$697 billion in new money has driven a ~689% gain this cycle — far less efficient than earlier cycles with returns up to 50,000% on much smaller capital.
Source
Key quotes
· 3 pulledBitcoin needs to be a core macro asset, not just a retail-driven ETF trade.
In 2011, roughly $5 million in new money was enough to double bitcoin's price. This cycle, doing the same took around $101 billion.
Each run has demanded exponentially more capital for a smaller percentage move, the arithmetic of an asset that now carries a market value near $1.2 trillion.
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