Paul Tudor Jones isn't calling a crash, but he's saying the next decade for the S&P 500 could be flat or negative at current valuations. That's a sobering anchor for anyone making long-term allocation decisions.
financeSaturday, September 19, 2026
Bearish warnings pile up for markets
A wave of bearish warnings hit the tape today, from Paul Tudor Jones to Bank of America to the Economist, all pointing at the same thing: the easy ride is over. The AI capex story also took a hit, with two pieces questioning whether the spending will ever pay off.
The bear case builds
Three separate warnings landed today, each from a different angle but all pointing at stretched valuations and hidden risk.
Bank of America points to calm markets masking real pressure: record Treasury yields, oil above $100, and the biggest stock fund outflows since January. The take is that everyone is too relaxed.
The Economist makes the macro case that rich-world sovereign bonds, long the safest bet in finance, are losing that status as public debt piles up. A structural shift, not a cyclical one.
AI spending questioned
Two pieces today took aim at the enormous capital flowing into AI, asking whether the returns will ever materialize.
A blunt critique of the AI capex boom, drawing a direct parallel to the dot-com bubble and arguing that tech giants are using accounting tricks to hide a lack of profitability. The revenue numbers don't justify the spending.
OpenAI's own internal projections show a potential $278 billion cash burn through 2030, with funds possibly exhausted by 2028. The main driver is compute infrastructure, projected to cost $856 billion. That is a staggering number.
Also today15
Social Security reform plans could sway voters in battleground Senate races, survey findswww.cnbc.com
Trump’s Latest Trade Threat Would Throw America Into A Massive Recessionwww.huffpost.com
Our 30th Year in Business + Blog Turns 20 This Monthcutcompcosts.com
Barco Shares Hold Steady Following Half-Year Margin Clarificationazat.tv- Trump Drops Legal Bid to Block $16 Billion NY-NJ Gateway Tunnelwww.bloomberg.com
- Dollar Jumps, Yen Slips: What BOJ Dissent Means for Tradersblog.e8markets.com
Rupee Rallies on Softer Oil: What Traders Should Watch Nextblog.e8markets.com
Lower oil prices, RBI support and firmer equities are lifting the rupee, offering traders a clearer view of the oil–FX–equity nexus.
Burnham as PM? "Wait and see"www.europeanbusinessreview.eu
Britain got another PM on Monday when Andy Burnham entered 10 Downing Street on the back of a wave of widespread enthusiasm behind him ....and a mountain of key challenges ahead.
Why Russia Could Escalate Hybrid Warfare Against Europewww.europeanbusinessreview.eu
Mounting economic strain and battlefield losses will not necessarily make the Kremlin less dangerous. They could instead push Moscow toward a more aggressive hybrid campaign designed to test NATOs Eastern flank, exploit allied hesitation, and fracture European resolve.
Sandisk Joins the S&P 100 on Monday -- the Same Day Nike Leaves Itwww.fool.com
Index funds will need to buy the flash-memory specialist's stock ahead of Monday -- though maybe not much of it.
What is Solana: What It Is, How It Works, and Why It Matterswww.coingabbar.com
What Is Solana? How This Fast Blockchain Works and Why It Matters Now What is Solana? It's a public blockchain; think of it as a shared digital ledger that moves money and runs apps fast and on the cheap. Solana went live in 2020, built by a company called Solana Labs, and starte
US state department under pressure to disclose Venezuelan oil takingsft.trib.al
US state department under pressure to disclose Venezuelan oil takings ft.trib.al/cGV9T9w
Defence firm Anduril says US delay on Taiwan arms sales affecting its businesswww.reuters.com
Defence firm Anduril says US delay on Taiwan arms sales affecting its business reut.rs/4yKJjfJ
Ripple Legal Chief Calls for Crypto Unity After CLARITY Act Defeatnews.bitcoin.com
Ripple Chief Legal Officer Stuart Alderoty is calling for greater coordination across the crypto industry after the CLARITY Act failed to advance in the Senate. He said the setback exposed divisions in messaging and political support surrounding digital asset legislation. Alderot
How can UK members earn Miles & More miles alongside the new debit card?www.headforpoints.com
Last week, Miles & More, the loyalty scheme for Lufthansa, SWISS, Austrian, ITA, Brussels Airlines and LOT (amongst others!) launched a UK debit card in partnership with Currensea. You can learn all about the card in our article here so I won't repeat myself. There is a sign-up b
More roundups that day
Trump's AI sprint, terrorism chatbots, trade threats
Google's Gemini hacks three companies in test
