With BTC at $61,700 and max pain at $72,000, the $10 billion expiry tomorrow is a test of whether the theory still works or if something else is driving price.
cryptocurrencyFriday, June 26, 2026
Options expiry, layoffs, hack, MiCA deadline
Bitcoin's quarterly options expiry is tomorrow, but the max pain theory isn't holding. Meanwhile, BitGo cuts staff to pivot, Polymarket gets hacked, and MiCA enforcement looms. A scattered day for crypto.
Market mechanics
The quarterly options expiry is the biggest scheduled event, but the usual rules aren't applying.
Industry shifts
Two stories show the industry tightening: BitGo restructures, Polymarket gets hacked, and MiCA enforcement is days away.
BitGo's 15% layoff is a strategic pivot toward stablecoins, trading, and AI, the same buzzy areas every crypto infrastructure firm is chasing.
Polymarket's third-party vendor breach let hackers inject malicious scripts; the company promises refunds but hasn't confirmed the total, estimated at $3 million.
July 1 is the MiCA enforcement deadline for unlicensed crypto firms in the EEA, with over 1,200 companies at risk and only a handful fully approved so far.
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