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Strait of Hormuz reopening could bring tanker traffic to 50% of prewar levels within 30 days of U.S.-Iran deal, analyst says

By

Spencer Kimball

2h ago· 2 min readenNews

Summary

The Strait of Hormuz could see a rapid but cautious reopening if a U.S.-Iran deal is implemented. According to Kpler analyst Matt Wright, tanker traffic entering the Persian Gulf could rise to 12 vessels per day (50% of prewar levels) within the first 30 days. However, cautious shippers will wait to see if initial transits proceed without attacks or mines before reentering. Insurance rates are expected to decrease once vessels begin making the journey successfully.

Key quotes

· 5 pulled
A large number of ships are waiting in the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea for Hormuz to open.
Tankers entering the Persian Gulf could increase to 12 per day, about 50% of prewar levels, in the first 30 days of the U.S.-Iran deal.
Shippers that are more cautious will wait and watch to see how the initial transits go.
They will consider reentering the Gulf if vessels are not attacked and there are no mines.
Insurance rates will start to come down when they vessels start making the journey.
Snippet from the RSS feed
Tanker traffic through Hormuz could quickly increase but it is unclear whether transits will approach prewar levels, according to Kpler.

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