How artificial intelligence could increase the risk of nuclear war by destabilizing deterrence
By
Joshua Keating
Summary
The article explores how artificial intelligence could destabilize nuclear deterrence and increase the risk of nuclear war. It discusses a fictional scenario involving a US-China standoff over Taiwan, where AI systems might misinterpret actions or escalate conflicts faster than humans can control. The piece examines how AI's speed, lack of human judgment, and potential for miscalculation could undermine the careful protocols that have prevented nuclear war since 1945. It argues that the very thing keeping the peace — the threat of mutually assured destruction — could be broken by AI systems that act too quickly or unpredictably.
Source
Key quotes
· 3 pulledIf we showed weakness, Taiwan might be lost to China forever.
We had a plan to prevent World War III. AI could break it.
The Americans were closing in, the situation was getting more dangerous by the minute — and President Xi Jinping was waiting for my recommendation.
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