Winter 2025/2026 Forecast: Analog Analysis Predicts Colder Season for North America and Europe
By
NKosmatos
Crisp on the outside, thoughtful on the inside. A keeper.
Summary
The Winter 2025/2026 analog-based forecast predicts a high likelihood of colder winter conditions returning to parts of the United States, Canada, and Europe. The analysis uses analog forecasting methods, comparing current global weather patterns with similar historical conditions to predict winter outcomes. Key drivers include La Niña, QBO (Quasi-Biennial Oscillation), and Polar Vortex signals that suggest a return to colder, more traditional winter weather patterns.
Key quotes
· 4 pulledThe Winter 2025/2026 Analog-based forecast shows a high likelihood of a colder winter returning over parts of the United States, Canada, and partially also to Europe.
Driven by several oceanic and atmospheric drivers, the global weather system appears to be aligning for a return of a colder old-school Winter season.
An analog forecast is when we analyze the current state of the global weather system and find several years in past decades with similar conditions.
Winter 2025/2026 Outlook: La Niña, QBO and Polar Vortex signals point to a Colder season in parts of the United States, Canada and Europe
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