Why AI won't replace software engineers: Evidence from the most AI-advanced profession

Summary

This essay argues against the narrative that AI will cause mass layoffs in software engineering, using data and evidence from the tech sector where AI capabilities are most advanced. The authors contend that even in a field with minimal regulatory barriers and rapid AI adoption, the predicted replacement of software engineers has not materialized and is unlikely to do so. They position software engineering as a bellwether for other professions, suggesting that if AI isn't replacing engineers, it's unlikely to replace most other workers either.