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JPMorgan strategist David Kelly outlines five scenarios for U.S. debt crisis, warns even best case is troubling

By

Nick Lichtenberg

2d ago· 11 min readenInsight

Summary

JPMorgan's Chief Global Strategist David Kelly analyzes America's growing national debt crisis, mapping out five distinct scenarios for how the debt trajectory could unfold over the next decade. Kelly previously warned that America is "going broke slowly," and his latest analysis suggests even the best-case scenario remains alarming. The scenarios range from relatively optimistic (but still troubling) outcomes to severe fiscal crises, highlighting the gradual but serious deterioration of U.S. fiscal health that markets have largely ignored.

Key quotes

· 3 pulled
America is 'going broke slowly.'
Markets weren't panicking yet, Kelly said at the time. The deterioration is real, but gradual enough that investors have been able to look away.
Kelly maps out five distinct scenarios for where America's debt trajectory will lead over the next decade — a more structured and expansive attempt to
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JPMorgan's David Kelly maps out five scenarios for the national debt over the next decade — the best-case is pretty, pretty bad.

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