The Future of Superintelligence: Moore's Law and AI Timelines
By
jxmorris12
10mo ago· 33 min readenInsight
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Summary
The article discusses Moore's Law and its implications for computational power, predicting a thousand-fold increase in ten years. It references a 1997 analysis that estimated the timeline for achieving superintelligence, suggesting it could happen before 2033. The piece explores the intersection of hardware advancements and AI development.
Key quotes
· 4 pulledMoore's law states that processor speed doubles every eighteen months.
The most recent data points indicate a doubling time as short as twelve months.
This would mean that there will be a thousand-fold increase in computational power in ten years.
Predicted superintelligence before 2033.
A 1997 analysis of AI timelines, analyzing brain processing power, Moore’s Law, and software development. Predicted superintelligence before 2033.
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