Reflections on Early COVID-19 Pandemic Modeling and Public Understanding
By
surprisetalk
Master baker tier. Every paragraph earns its place on the tray.
Summary
The article reflects on the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic, focusing on how people initially misunderstood the mathematical models of virus spread. The author discusses their personal experience trying to explain concepts like Infection Fatality Rates and R values to skeptical audiences on social media, highlighting the gap between scientific understanding and public perception during the pandemic's onset.
Key quotes
· 3 pulledPeople who were paying super close attention started hearing rumors about something going on in China towards the end of 2019
Even at the time, people were utterly clueless about the mathematics of how a highly infectious virus spread
I remember spending hours writing posts on various different social media sites explaining that the Infection Fatality Rates and the R value were showing that we could be looking at millions dead
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