Prediction Markets Show OpenAI Has 81% Odds of IPOing Before Anthropic
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StartupHub.ai
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Summary
Prediction markets are actively trading on which AI leader—OpenAI or Anthropic—will go public first, with total combined volume reaching $16.2 million across tracked markets. OpenAI currently holds an 81% implied probability of IPOing before Anthropic, reflecting intense investor speculation about the future of AI companies entering public markets before 2040.
Key quotes
· 2 pulledTotal combined volume across various prediction markets tracked by Kalshi — All Markets totals $16.2 million.
Markets show OpenAI has a higher implied probability of IPOing first, with 'Yes' on OpenAI IPOing before Anthropic holding 81.0% odds (1.2x ret
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