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AI disruption of software engineering will be faster than the internet's collapse of travel agents

By

martinald

5mo ago· 7 min readenInsight

Summary

The article draws a parallel between the collapse of the travel agent industry due to the internet (47% decline in agents from 2000-2012) and the impending disruption facing software engineering from AI. The author argues that while travel agents had a decade to adapt, software engineers will face a much more compressed timeline. The piece examines how travel agents survived by moving upmarket and suggests software engineers may need similar strategies, but warns that AI-driven disruption will happen far faster than the internet-driven collapse of travel agencies.

Key quotes

· 4 pulled
Travel agents are the go-to example of an industry killed by the internet.
US agents numbered 124,000 in 2000. By 2012, that had fallen 47% to 65,000.
The ones who survived did it by going upmarket.
I keep thinking about this when I look at what's coming for software engineering - except this time, I don't think we get ten years.
Snippet from the RSS feed
Travel agents are the classic example of an industry killed by the internet. Software engineering is facing the same disruption, but the timeline is compressed.

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